# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views during its first two days online, with the market settling on the total count at the 48-hour mark. The crowd currently assigns zero probability to any outcome, suggesting either insufficient liquidity or genuine uncertainty about which bracket the video will occupy.

MrBeast has consistently delivered viewership in the tens of millions within 48 hours across his recent catalogue. His November 2024 video "$456,000 Squid Game" reached approximately 80 million views in two days, whilst "$1,000,000 Mystery Wheel" achieved similar velocity. Historical performance indicates his core audience engages rapidly, with the majority of two-day views typically arriving within the first 24 hours. The 0% implied probability across all brackets suggests traders may be awaiting confirmation of which video qualifies as "the latest" before committing capital, or the market lacks sufficient participation to establish meaningful odds.

Catalysts affecting view accumulation include the video's release timing, thumbnail effectiveness, and algorithmic promotion on YouTube's homepage. MrBeast's subscriber base now exceeds 200 million, providing a substantial floor for immediate engagement. External factors—competing releases from other high-profile creators, platform algorithm changes, or technical issues with the video itself—could materially affect the trajectory. The settlement window extends to mid-June 2026, allowing the full 48-hour window to complete before resolution occurs. Traders should monitor the channel directly for upload confirmation and early performance metrics within the first six hours, which typically indicate whether a video will track toward the upper or lower brackets.

Methodology

We track # of views of MrBeast video day 2? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Who Will Win 2026 is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Who Will Win 2026 triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.