About the author
Marc Jakob is Senior Editor at PolyGram, focused on prediction markets, crypto order flow, and the mechanics of decentralised settlement systems. Since 2018 he has analysed how Polymarket, Kalshi and Betfair Exchange translate probability estimates into live order-book quotes.
His coverage spans market structure (CLOB vs. AMM design), on-chain resolution via the UMA Optimistic Oracle, and the evolving regulatory landscape for prediction-market platforms in the EU and US. Marc has published on conditional-token architectures, liquidity fragmentation, and cross-platform arbitrage.
Before PolyGram, Marc worked as a quant analyst at a Frankfurt buy-side desk and wrote about DeFi structures for English-language crypto publications.
Areas of expertise
Prediction MarketsPolymarketOn-Chain SettlementUSDCPolygonMarket StructureDeFi
Recent articles by Marc Jakob
Is Polymarket Legal? Country-by-Country Guide 2025
1 April 2026is Polymarket legal
Is Polymarket Legal? Regulation Guide for 2026
28 April 2026is polymarket legal
Prediction Market API: Build Your Own Trading Bot
28 April 2026prediction market API
Election Prediction Markets: How They Work in 2026
28 April 2026election prediction markets
Understanding Prediction Market Odds and Probability
28 April 2026prediction market odds
How to Find Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
1 May 2026prediction market arbitrage
Polymarket Fees: Complete Breakdown for 2026
1 May 2026Polymarket fees
Kelly Criterion for Prediction Markets: Size Your Bets
1 May 2026Kelly criterion prediction markets
US Senate 2026: Prediction Market Odds by State
1 May 2026US Senate prediction market 2026
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K? Prediction Market Analysis
1 May 2026Bitcoin 100K prediction
How to Withdraw from Prediction Markets: Step-by-Step
1 May 2026how to withdraw prediction markets
Using Prediction Markets for Sports: A Complete Guide
1 May 2026prediction markets sports betting
How AI Is Changing Prediction Markets in 2026
1 May 2026AI prediction markets
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? The Research
1 May 2026prediction market accuracy
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: Key Differences & Which Wins
1 May 2026prediction market vs sports betting
Election Prediction Markets 2026: Real-Time Odds for Midterms & Global Votes
1 May 2026election prediction markets 2026
Will Bitcoin Hit $100K in 2026? Prediction Market Odds Analyzed
1 May 2026will bitcoin hit 100k 2026
How to Make Money with Prediction Markets in 2026: A Realistic Guide
1 May 2026how to make money prediction markets
PolyGram vs Polymarket: Which Platform Is Better in 2026?
1 May 2026polygram vs polymarket
Decentralized Prediction Markets: How On-Chain Forecasting Works in 2026
1 May 2026decentralized prediction market
FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction Markets: Winner Odds, Group Stage & More
1 May 2026FIFA World Cup 2026 prediction market
Polygon & USDC in Prediction Markets: Fast, Cheap, and Reliable Settlement
1 May 2026polygon USDC prediction market
How to Withdraw from Prediction Markets: Cashing Out Your USDC Winnings
1 May 2026prediction market withdrawal
PolyGram Sign Up Guide 2026: Start Trading Prediction Markets in 60 Seconds
1 May 2026polymarket signup guide
How Accurate Are Prediction Markets? Research & Evidence from 2016-2026
1 May 2026how accurate are prediction markets
SEC Crypto Ruling Prediction Markets: Bitcoin ETF, Ethereum Status & More
1 May 2026SEC crypto prediction market
Using Prediction Markets as Insurance: How to Hedge Real-World Risk
1 May 2026prediction market hedge insurance
UFC & MMA Prediction Markets 2026: Fight Odds, Belt Markets & Method of Victory
2 May 2026UFC prediction market 2026
US Senate & House 2026 Midterm Prediction Markets: Control Odds Explained
2 May 2026US House Senate 2026 prediction
Copy Trading on Prediction Markets: Follow Top Forecasters in 2026
2 May 2026prediction market copy trading
2028 Presidential Election Prediction Markets: Early Republican & Democratic Odds
2 May 20262028 presidential election prediction market
How to Login to Polymarket in 2026: PolyGram as the Easiest Alternative
2 May 2026polymarket login
How to Spot Value in Prediction Markets: 5 Signs a Market Is Mispriced
2 May 2026mispriced prediction market value
The Ultimate Prediction Market Guide 2026: Everything You Need to Start
2 May 2026prediction market guide 2026
Olympics & Athletics Prediction Markets 2026-2028: Track, Field & Medal Odds
2 May 2026olympics prediction market 2028
Sports Trading vs Prediction Markets: Which Is Better for Professional Traders?
2 May 2026sports trading vs prediction markets
Polymarket vs Betfair 2026: Which Exchange Is Better for Sports Traders?
2 May 2026polymarket vs betfair
NBA MVP Prediction Markets 2026: Jokic, Tatum, SGA & Award Season Odds
2 May 2026NBA MVP prediction market 2026
What Is a Prediction Market? Visual Guide with Real Examples
2 May 2026what is a prediction market explained
NFL Draft 2026 Prediction Markets: No. 1 Pick, Team Selections & Prospect Odds
2 May 2026NFL Draft prediction market 2026
Rugby World Cup 2027 Prediction Markets: Early Odds & Southern Hemisphere Dominance
2 May 2026rugby world cup prediction market 2027
Prediction Market Returns Calculator: How Much Can You Make on Each Trade?
2 May 2026prediction market returns calculator
NBA Finals 2026 Prediction Markets: Who Wins the Championship? Live Odds
2 May 2026NBA Finals prediction market 2026
Are Prediction Markets Gambling? Legal & Academic Perspective 2026
2 May 2026are prediction markets gambling
La Liga Prediction Markets 2025/26: Real Madrid, Barcelona & Title Race Odds
2 May 2026la liga prediction market 2026
Serie A Prediction Markets 2025/26: Inter Milan, Juventus & Italian Football Odds
2 May 2026serie a prediction market 2026
