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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% O/U 3.5 Games 85% Game 2 Winner 61% Volume: $3.0M Liquidity: $2.3M Closes: 11 Oct 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
O/U 3.5 Games85%
Game 2 Winner61%
Game 3 Winner60%
Game 4 Winner56%
Ends in Daytime53%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?53%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?53%
Match Winner50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 4?50%
Any Player Rampage49%
Both Teams Beat Roshan49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks48%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?48%
O/U 4.5 Games44%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)34%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)24%
Game Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Yandex (+2.5)16%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TY (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)0%

Market context

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand Final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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