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LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $2.8M Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 4 Oct 2026
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LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 1?76%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?76%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?63%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?50%
O/U 4.5 Games44%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)44%
Game 4 Winner41%
Match Winner30%
Game 3 Winner26%
First Blood in Game 2?25%
First Blood in Game 3?25%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?25%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?25%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?25%
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)12%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Cloud9 and LYON in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Clo…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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