🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogSee live odds →

LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 3 Winner 100% O/U 3.5 Games 100% Match Winner 82% Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 10 Oct 2026
Open live market →
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 3 Winner100%
O/U 3.5 Games100%
Match Winner82%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?79%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?78%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?77%
Game 4 Winner59%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)58%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?43%
O/U 4.5 Games41%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?23%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 3?23%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)0%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: los vs furia esports (bo5) - cblol playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between LOS and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

Trade LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs on Who Will Win 2026

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026.

See all markets →