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Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 Winner 100% Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 21.5 76% Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 22.5 76% Volume: $118K Liquidity: $22K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 Winner100%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 21.576%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 22.576%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Match O/U 23.551%
Completed Match50%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild39%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 Winner0%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to cordenons: peter makk vs thiago seyboth wild. This market refers to the tennis match between Peter Makk and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Peter Makk' if Pe…

Methodology

We track Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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