Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
99% | 1% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
99% | 1% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 99% |
| Spread -1.5 | 99% |
| Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| Spread -3.5 | 99% |
| Spread -4.5 | 99% |
| Spread -5.5 | 99% |
| Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| Rutgers O/U 23.5 | 97% |
| Spread -7.5 | 96% |
| Spread -8.5 | 96% |
| Spread -10.5 | 95% |
| Spread -13.5 | 95% |
| Spread -14.5 | 94% |
| Spread -20.5 | 94% |
| Spread -16.5 | 93% |
| Spread -17.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 93% |
| O/U 37.5 | 93% |
| O/U 39.5 | 90% |
| Rutgers O/U 26.5 | 88% |
| O/U 41.5 | 85% |
| O/U 43.5 | 84% |
| O/U 45.5 | 80% |
| O/U 47.5 | 75% |
| O/U 49.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 69% |
| O/U 51.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 65% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 64% |
| O/U 53.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 59% |
| O/U 55.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 54% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Howard O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Howard O/U 32.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers O/U 32.5 | 51% |
| Howard 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Howard 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Howard 2H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 51% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 51% |
| Howard vs. Rutgers: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 51% |
| Howard 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Howard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Howard Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Howard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Rutgers Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Howard Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Howard 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Howard 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Howard 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Howard vs. Rutgers: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Howard vs. Rutgers: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Howard Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Howard Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Howard Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Howard 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Howard Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Howard vs. Rutgers: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rutgers Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Howard vs. Rutgers: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Howard vs. Rutgers: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 59.5 | 43% |
| O/U 61.5 | 40% |
| O/U 63.5 | 32% |
| O/U 67.5 | 27% |
| O/U 65.5 | 26% |
| O/U 69.5 | 20% |
| O/U 71.5 | 14% |
| O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| Howard O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| O/U 75.5 | 10% |
| Howard O/U 20.5 | 5% |
| Howard O/U 23.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
| Spread -13.5 | 2% |
| Spread -1.5 | 2% |
| Spread -0.5 | 2% |
| Howard vs. Rutgers | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 99% YES probability for Howard vs. Rutgers. In the upcoming college football game between Howard and Rutgers, scheduled for September 25 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Howard" if Howard win the game. This market will resolve to "Rut…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $124K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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