Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| O/U 53.5 | 100% |
| O/U 55.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Louisville O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| NC State O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| NC State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| NC State 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| NC State 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| NC State 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 57.5 | 99% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 90% |
| Louisville O/U 23.5 | 90% |
| Louisville O/U 26.5 | 90% |
| Louisville 2H O/U 15.5 | 90% |
| O/U 59.5 | 86% |
| O/U 61.5 | 83% |
| Louisville vs. NC State | 68% |
| Spread -1.5 | 65% |
| Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| O/U 63.5 | 63% |
| O/U 65.5 | 58% |
| O/U 67.5 | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Louisville O/U 32.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| NC State O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| NC State 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Louisville vs. NC State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| NC State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisville Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| NC State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Louisville vs. NC State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville vs. NC State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Louisville vs. NC State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| NC State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Louisville O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 71.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Spread -17.5 | 43% |
| O/U 73.5 | 40% |
| O/U 69.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| O/U 75.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 2% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Louisville 1H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| NC State 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| NC State 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of louisville vs. nc state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Louisville and NC State, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisville" if Louisville win the game. Th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $812K.
Methodology
This page reviews Louisville vs. NC State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2216%2C18%2020%2C4%2024%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2224%2C18%2028%2C3%2032%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2232%2C18%2036%2C3%2040%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%2F%3E%3Cpolygon%20points%3D%2240%2C18%2044%2C4%2048%2C18%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23facc15%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade Louisville vs. NC State on Who Will Win 2026
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →