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Notre Dame vs. North Carolina

Five-platform snapshot of "Notre Dame vs. North Carolina" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Notre Dame vs. North Carolina 100% Spread -10.5 100% Spread -8.5 100% Spread -7.5 100% Volume: $480K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
O/U 55.5100%
O/U 57.5100%
O/U 59.5100%
O/U 61.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
2H O/U 21.5100%
2H O/U 24.5100%
2H O/U 27.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
1Q O/U 16.5100%
1Q O/U 19.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 13.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 20.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 23.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 26.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 29.5100%
Notre Dame O/U 32.5100%
North Carolina O/U 23.5100%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 11.5100%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 13.5100%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.5100%
North Carolina 1H O/U 12.5100%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.5100%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.5100%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4100%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5100%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5100%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
North Carolina Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5100%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5100%
Notre Dame Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5100%
Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5100%
Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5100%
Notre Dame Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5100%
Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 21.5100%
Notre Dame Total First Downs: O/U 23.5100%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
Notre Dame O/U 4.5100%
North Carolina O/U 1.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
4Q Moneyline100%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
North Carolina 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
North Carolina O/U 26.50%
North Carolina O/U 29.50%
North Carolina O/U 32.50%
North Carolina O/U 35.50%
North Carolina 1H O/U 14.50%
North Carolina 1H O/U 16.50%
North Carolina 2H O/U 12.50%
North Carolina 2H O/U 14.50%
North Carolina 2H O/U 16.50%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Notre Dame Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
North Carolina Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
North Carolina Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
North Carolina Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Notre Dame Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
North Carolina Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Notre Dame Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
North Carolina Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
North Carolina Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Notre Dame vs. North Carolina: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Spread -42.50%
Spread -39.50%
Spread -38.50%
Spread -36.50%
Spread -35.50%
Spread -32.50%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -29.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -11.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to notre dame vs. north carolina. In the upcoming college football game between Notre Dame and North Carolina, scheduled for October 3 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Notre Dame" if Notre Dame win the game. This market will…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Notre Dame vs. North Carolina at 100% for "Notre Dame vs. North Carolina".

Notre Dame vs. North Carolina 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $480K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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