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Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs magic (+6.5) 100% Volume: $694K Liquidity: $772K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs magic (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-9.5) vs magic (+9.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.591%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.575%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)50%
Match Winner45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)9%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)9%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.59%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: magic (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)9%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-6.5) vs magic (+6.5)9%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.59%
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)1%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-3.5) vs NIP (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: magic (-6.5) vs NIP (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-12.5) vs magic (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: nip vs magic (bo3) - 1win private club #1 playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Final match between NIP and magic in the 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: NIP vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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