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US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska 100% Completed Match 100% US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $437K Liquidity: $169K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska100%
Completed Match100%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set 1 Winner100%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 23.5100%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 Winner0%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska Game Spread +/-1.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska. This market refers to the tennis match between Lucrezia Stefanini and Dayana Yastremska in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucrez…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Who Will Win 2026. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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Related Topics

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