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Broncos vs. Chargers

Five-platform snapshot of "Broncos vs. Chargers" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 24.5 100% O/U 26.5 100% O/U 28.5 100% O/U 30.5 100% Volume: $2.4M Liquidity: $1.6M Closes: 11 Oct 2026
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Broncos vs. Chargers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -7.5100%
3Q Spread -9.5100%
3Q Spread -10.5100%
3Q Spread -13.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2H O/U 19.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
4Q O/U 5.5100%
4Q O/U 6.5100%
Broncos O/U 10.5100%
Broncos O/U 12.5100%
Broncos O/U 13.5100%
Broncos O/U 16.5100%
Chargers O/U 10.5100%
Chargers O/U 12.5100%
Chargers O/U 13.5100%
Chargers O/U 16.5100%
Broncos 1H O/U 6.5100%
Broncos 2H O/U 6.5100%
Chargers 2H O/U 6.5100%
Chargers 2H O/U 10.5100%
Chargers 2H O/U 12.5100%
Chargers 2H O/U 13.5100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
4Q O/U 7.599%
4Q Spread -3.595%
4Q Spread -6.593%
Spread -2.591%
2H O/U 22.591%
Broncos O/U 19.591%
Broncos vs. Chargers90%
Spread -1.590%
4Q Spread -2.588%
4Q Spread -7.588%
4Q O/U 10.579%
Spread -4.573%
Spread -5.573%
4Q Spread -10.570%
O/U 38.569%
Broncos O/U 20.569%
Spread -3.568%
2H Spread -3.559%
2H Spread -8.551%
4Q Spread -9.551%
Exact Margin: Chargers by 21+51%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 60.550%
O/U 62.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -16.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -14.550%
2H Spread -17.550%
2H Spread -20.550%
2H Spread -21.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -9.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q Spread -14.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
Broncos O/U 26.550%
Broncos O/U 27.550%
Broncos O/U 30.550%
Chargers O/U 26.550%
Chargers O/U 27.550%
Chargers O/U 30.550%
Chargers O/U 34.550%
Broncos 2H O/U 10.550%
Broncos 2H O/U 12.550%
Broncos 2H O/U 13.550%
Broncos 2H O/U 16.550%
Broncos 2H O/U 17.550%
Broncos 2H O/U 19.550%
Broncos 2H O/U 20.550%
Chargers 2H O/U 16.550%
Chargers 2H O/U 17.550%
Chargers 2H O/U 19.550%
Chargers 2H O/U 20.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Broncos by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Chargers by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Chargers by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Chargers by 14-2050%
Safety?50%
Broncos Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Chargers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Broncos vs. Chargers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Broncos Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Chargers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
O/U 56.549%
Spread -19.548%
Spread -16.548%
Spread -17.548%
Spread -19.548%
Spread -20.548%
Spread -21.548%
Spread -21.547%
Broncos O/U 34.538%
2H Spread -16.536%
4Q Spread -14.526%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q26%
O/U 42.518%
Chargers O/U 19.517%
O/U 40.516%
2H O/U 28.516%
Chargers O/U 23.516%
4Q O/U 14.513%
4Q O/U 13.511%
O/U 44.510%
2H Spread -4.59%
Chargers O/U 20.59%
O/U 46.58%
2H Spread -6.57%
2H Spread -7.57%
Broncos O/U 23.57%
Spread -6.56%
2H Spread -13.56%
Spread -7.55%
Spread -9.55%
2H Spread -3.54%
2H Spread -4.54%
2H Spread -9.54%
Spread -2.53%
O/U 54.53%
Spread -8.53%
Spread -8.53%
2H Spread -6.53%
2H Spread -7.53%
2H Spread -9.53%
2H Spread -10.53%
2H Spread -13.53%
2H Spread -10.53%
4Q Spread -2.53%
4Q Spread -3.53%
Spread -1.52%
O/U 48.52%
Spread -10.52%
Exact Margin: Tie2%
Spread -3.51%
Spread -4.51%
Spread -6.51%
O/U 52.51%
O/U 58.51%
O/U 64.51%
Spread -13.51%
Spread -14.51%
Spread -16.51%
Spread -20.51%
Spread -5.51%
Spread -7.51%
4Q Spread -6.51%
4Q Spread -7.51%
4Q Spread -10.51%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
1H O/U 16.50%
1H O/U 19.50%
1H O/U 22.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
2Q O/U 6.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 14.50%
3Q O/U 14.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 10.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 12.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 13.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 16.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 17.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 19.50%
Broncos 1H O/U 20.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 6.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 10.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 12.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 13.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 16.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 17.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 19.50%
Chargers 1H O/U 20.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q0%
3Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, broncos vs. chargers stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NFL football game between Broncos and Chargers, scheduled for October 11 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game. This market wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 24.5 at 100% for "Broncos vs. Chargers".

O/U 24.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $2.4M.

Methodology

We track Broncos vs. Chargers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Jordan LeeJordan LeeSports Prediction ReporterandChris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editor

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