Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 50% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 50% |
| Any Other Score | 50% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 47% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 23% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 18% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 17% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 11% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 5% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 3% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 1% |
| FK Kudrivka 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 2 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
| FK Kudrivka 3 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 50% YES probability for FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score. In the upcoming Ukraine Premier Liha game between FK Kudrivka and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FK Kudrivka…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FK Kudrivka vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score on Who Will Win 2026
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →