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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng

Five-platform snapshot of "Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 71% Completed Match 50% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.5 49% Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.5 49% Volume: $89K Liquidity: $107K Closes: 3 Aug 2026
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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.571%
Completed Match50%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.549%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.549%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.549%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 21.548%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 Winner47%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.546%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner45%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng43%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 22.543%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.538%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.537%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.528%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.526%
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.525%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, mubadala citi dc open: alexandra eala vs qinwen zheng stands at 71% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Eala and Qinwen Zheng in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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