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National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff

How the prediction-market book is pricing "National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.5 93% Completed Match 50% National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $566K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Who Will Win 2026) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.593%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.550%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 21.550%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 9.550%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 22.550%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 23.550%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 10.550%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Total Sets: O/U 2.57%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 2 Winner4%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff1%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 1 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 9.50%
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, national bank open: alina korneeva vs coco gauff stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Korneeva and Coco Gauff in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page reviews National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Coco Gauff across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Who Will Win 2026, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Who Will Win 2026 trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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